Cameron needs a miracle to win
The Conservatives’ problems are compounded by the unpopularity of their coalition partners, the Liberal Democrats. Most of the anti-Conservatives who voted Lib Dem in 2010 have returned to Labour. This is by far the biggest single reason why Labour’s support remains above 40%.
Now, I expect the Lib Dems to recover some support at the next election. However, the chances are that many of these defectors won’t return. Unless Miliband screws up completely (and after his performance last week, that likelihood has receded) Labour looks unlikely to slip below 35% at the next election. If so, then the Tories will need at least 42% to win a clear majority. This requires a five-point increase on last time: a surge that no governing party has achieved since Lord Palmerston led the Liberals to victory in 1857.
And that's even before a week of watching Osborne, Gove, Maude, Shapps and slimy Hunt slithering across our television screens.
Hi Bob;Too polite a description of them. Seeing purse face Gove, Slimy Hunt etc was nothing short of vomit inducing. We know that politics is in a serious state of decline in this country and elsewhere, and is it any wonder? having watched that shower on t.v. last night after Newsnight. While not underestimating what a dangerous reactionary horses rectum that Johnson is, can anyone take him seriously after such a brain deadening, embarrasing show like that infantile load of cobblers yesterday.
Absolutely Gerald. Hunt takes the biscuit though. Apparently his “dad was a hospital manager”… Yes, Admiral Nicholas Hunt GCB LVO DL, Commander-in-Chief of the fleet, and a former Chairman of Nuffield private hospital. Very bleedin’ umble!
Bob; Thought that you may have made a comment on here about Hugo Chavez’s magnificent victory in the Venezuelan presidential election campaign on Sunday.
Yes, I meant to Gerald, but was working all day Monday and Tuesday, and then a Group Meeting and Council in the evenings, but yes, it was a great victory, and a slap in the face for the Guardianistas supporting their friends in Washington.
Sorry Bob; It just seemed a bit strange you not mentioning a victory for socialists/socialism,then not everybody is retired like me.Got to be honest, the reporting in the Guardian left me disgusted, ditto their reporting of the U.S. presidential election campaign. Have to be careful of this harmonisation of views between us, I’ll be inviting you to tea next, or Gary will make a sensible post or Duff make an intelligent one.
If you google the authors of these Guardian articles attacking Chavez Gerald, you see that they are all graduates of that little known suburb of Caracas, Washington DC.